Whale Activity and Wallet Growth Fuel Optimism for XRP Price Surge
XRP sees renewed investor confidence as whale flows flip bullish, echoing conditions that previously sparked a 420% rally.
Whale Flow Metric Turns Green—And Traders Are Paying Attention
After months of sluggish performance, XRP is showing fresh signs of strength. On-chain data reveals that XRP’s 90-day moving average of whale flows turned positive in May, a notable shift following a long correction from January through April.
This reversal in whale behavior is raising expectations for a potential breakout in Q4 2025—especially as it mirrors the setup that led to a 420% rally the last time the metric flashed green in August 2024.
Supporting the bullish trend is a record surge in large XRP wallet holdings. According to futures trader Dom, 2,850 wallets now hold over 1 million XRP, an all-time high.
Moreover, the number of mid-sized wallets (those with 10,000+ XRP) grew 6.2% year-to-date, reaching 306,000—despite lackluster short-term price action.
This accumulation signals growing long-term investor conviction even as trading volumes on Binance for Q2 fell to their lowest levels since August 2020.
XRP Whale Flow 30DMA chart. Source: CryptoQuant
XRP Sentiment Climbs Amid SEC Stalemate
Sentiment around XRP has climbed to a 17-day high, according to data from Santiment, following the stalled $50 million settlement between Ripple and the SEC.
This is in stark contrast to Bitcoin and Ether, where retail interest has diminished due to recent market stagnation.
XRP addresses count holding 1M+ XRP. Source: X
SEC Legal Case Still Casting a Shadow
Despite renewed market optimism, Ripple’s legal troubles with the SEC remain unresolved. On June 26, U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres denied a motion requesting an indicative ruling that would reduce Ripple’s $125 million penalty.
Bitcoin, Ether and XRP crowd sentiment chart. Source: Santiment/X
Judge Torres firmly rejected the notion that private settlements can override final court judgments, stressing that both parties must either drop their appeals or proceed through the formal appeals process.
“The parties do not have the authority to agree not to be bound by a court’s final judgment… They have not come close to doing so here.” — Judge Analisa Torres
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