Bitcoin Could Surge to $150K by September—But Only If This Technical Signal Holds

Bitcoin Could Surge to $150K by September—But Only If This Technical Signal Holds

Peter Brandt Sees Parabolic Potential in BTC’s 2025 Cycle

Bitcoin may be heading for a new all-time high of $150,000 by late summer, according to veteran trader Peter Brandt, but there’s a catch: it must regain its broken parabolic slope, a key technical formation that often precedes explosive price action.

Brandt’s latest prediction—posted to X—points to a possible cycle top between $125,000 and $150,000 by August or September 2025. He also issued a clear warning: if history repeats, a sharp 50% correction could follow any parabolic move, echoing the painful drawdowns that have marked previous Bitcoin rallies.

Economic Headwinds Fuel Bitcoin Breakout

The forecast comes as Bitcoin (BTC) touched new quarterly highs, reaching $96,700 on May 1, just one day after U.S. GDP contracted by -0.3%, marking the first negative growth since Q2 2022.

This economic dip pushed the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut to 62.8% ahead of its June 18 meeting, increasing bullish sentiment across crypto markets. Short sellers felt the heat—over $137 million in BTC short positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, according to market data.

Parabolic Arc Could Signal $150K—But Also Chaos

Brandt’s bullish outlook rests on a parabolic arc, a chart pattern that has historically preceded meteoric gains followed by deep corrections. It’s the same setup seen in Bitcoin’s 2017 bull run, when the asset surged before tumbling over 80%.

“If Bitcoin can regain the parabolic slope,” Brandt wrote, “the upper range could reach between $125,000 and $150,000 before a retracement begins.”

This is more than chart analysis. The structure reflects broader investor psychology—greed and fear cycles that often exaggerate both peaks and valleys in Bitcoin’s price.

On-Chain Metrics Also Point to Bullish Momentum

From an on-chain view, researcher Axel Adler Jr. suggests Bitcoin is entering a “start” rally zone, pointing to the NUPL/MVRV ratios. If the ratio breaks above 1.0 and holds, Adler says BTC could hit $150K–$175K, mimicking prior cycles like 2017 and 2021.

Still, this is the bullish scenario. A baseline path would see BTC trade sideways in a $90,000–$110,000 range without significant new capital inflows. And the bearish outcome? A retreat to $70,000–$85,000 if short-term profit-taking intensifies.

$100K in Sight—But Consolidation May Come First

Bitcoin has shown signs of strength in recent weeks, climbing 13% before consolidating, then breaking out again toward $96,000. It’s now brushing up against a resistance cluster between $96K and $99K, suggesting a pause may precede a push past $100,000.

Whether it consolidates or continues its rally, Bitcoin is testing the upper limits of its current cycle. What happens next could determine whether traders see fireworks—or just flickers.