Bitcoin’s Big Bet: Bulls Predict $130K to $1.5M Price Surge by 2025

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Bitcoin’s Big Bet: Bulls Predict $130K to $1.5M Price Surge by 2025

From Washington to Wall Street, Bitcoin’s most vocal bulls are calling for sky-high valuations. But is the world ready for a $1.5 million BTC?


Record-Breaking Rallies Stir New Optimism

Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, is once again making headlines—not just for setting a new all-time high of $111,970 on May 22, but for the bold predictions now surfacing from finance heavyweights and crypto pioneers.

Despite a brief dip to $76,300 in April, Bitcoin has bounced back with remarkable force. As institutional appetite deepens and geopolitical shifts reshape financial strategy, the bullish chorus has grown louder. Forecasts now stretch from $130,000 by year-end to a staggering $1.5 million by 2030.

Bitcoin has stormed back since dropping to 2025 lows of $76,300 in April. Source: CoinGecko

The $1 Million Thesis: Adam Back’s Bitcoin Reserve Dream

Blockstream CEO Adam Back believes that if the U.S. follows through with the proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Bitcoin could easily surpass $1 million “this cycle.” Though not yet enshrined in law, the proposal has picked up steam, with New Hampshire already passing a Bitcoin reserve bill and Texas moving forward.

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Back believes the reserve strategy could transform Bitcoin into a digital gold standard, especially with the U.S. government repurposing confiscated BTC from criminal cases. He also pointed to a pending market catalyst: $16 billion in FTX repayments, which he expects will flow back into crypto and reignite retail momentum.

Back says the $1 million prediction is the minimum target if the stars align. Source: Adam Back

$200,000 in Sight: Analysts and Institutions Agree

Institutional voices are starting to sing the same bullish tune. Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick has set a near-term target of $120,000 in the first half of 2025, with the year-end goal pegged at $200,000, driven by the explosive rise of stablecoins and favorable regulation.

Kendrick noted the GENIUS Act, passed in the U.S. Senate with a 66-32 majority, as a key milestone for the legitimacy of crypto. “All boats will rise,” he wrote in a market note.

Standard Chartered is closely watching the growth of stablecoins as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin’s price rise. Source: Standard Chartered Research

André Dragosch of Bitwise and Markus Thielen echoed the forecast, citing historical price increments of $16,000 and a key resistance near $122,000.

Meanwhile, Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, reinforced the $200,000 figure in a recent interview, joining the growing list of institutional bulls.


Novogratz Sets a ‘Modest’ Target at $130K–$150K

Not everyone is betting on six-figure moonshots, though. Mike Novogratz, founder of Galaxy Digital, offered a more tempered—but still ambitious—target of $130,000 to $150,000.

Citing strong institutional flows, a weaker dollar, and increased demand for digital assets, Novogratz sees the next major phase as “price discovery,” where new highs will be set beyond familiar territory.

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Novogratz presents Bitcoin’s short-term price targets following Galaxy Digital’s May 16 public listing. Source: CNBC

Cathie Wood and the $1.5 Million Moonshot

Cathie Wood, the high-conviction investor behind ARK Invest, reaffirmed her $1.5 million Bitcoin prediction by 2030, calling it her “bull case.” That would require a compound annual growth rate of 58%—a meteoric rise powered by institutional adoption and the expanding stablecoin economy.

Wood isn’t alone. Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, sees $250,000 by 2025 and a climb to $1 million by 2035.

Kiyosaki’s 2025 prediction sits at $250,000 per Bitcoin. Source: Robert Kiyosaki

Arthur Hayes: $250K by Year-End If the Fed Pivots

In a detailed April post, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes argued that Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by the end of 2025—but only if the U.S. Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing (QE).

He believes Bitcoin is closely tied to fiat supply expectations, and that a Fed pivot from quantitative tightening (QT) would signal a major buying opportunity.

The DXY US dollar index is down 8.20% year to date. Source: TradingView

Conclusion: Is the World Ready for a Million-Dollar Bitcoin?

Whether it’s $130,000, $250,000, or $1.5 million, one thing is clear: Bitcoin’s bullish narrative is no longer limited to fringe optimists. With growing institutional interest, legal frameworks evolving, and macroeconomic pressures building, 2025 could be the year Bitcoin breaks the mold—again.

But for every bullish prediction, risks remain. As history has shown, crypto is as much about timing as it is about conviction.

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