Ethereum’s Market Share Nears Record Lows as Bear Flag Signals $1,100 Price Target

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Ethereum’s Market Share Nears Record Lows as Bear Flag Signals $1,100 Price Target

ETH Faces Pressure Amid Falling Dominance and Rising Competition

Ethereum, once hailed as the undisputed king of smart contracts and decentralized finance, is now grappling with waning market dominance and mounting technical signals that suggest a potential plunge in ETH price to $1,100.

The shift comes amid broader structural changes in the crypto ecosystem, with Layer-1 rivals like Solana, BNB, and XRP gaining ground in market share and capital inflows.


📉 Ethereum’s Market Dominance Drops to 5-Year Lows

ETH Now at Just 7.18% of Total Crypto Market Cap

On April 9, Ethereum’s market dominance — the percentage of total cryptocurrency market capitalization held by Ether — fell to 7.18%, marking its lowest level since 2019. This is just above its all-time low of 7.09%, reached in September of that year.

ETH market dominance %. Source: Rekt Capital

Ethereum dominance is so very close to registering new all-time lows,” crypto analyst Rekt Capital wrote on X, adding that holding the current level is crucial if Ethereum wants to regain its leadership.

Despite holding the largest share in total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols at 51.7%, Ethereum’s grip is weakening. This is a significant drop from 61.2% in February 2024, while competitors like Solana have boosted their TVL dominance by 172% during the same period.

See Also  Ethereum Holds Strong Above $1,800 Despite Minor Dip

Rising Competition Intensifies the Pressure on ETH

Total value locked market share (%). Source: DefiLlama

The landscape is changing fast:

  • XRP has seen its dominance rise by over 200% since 2020.

  • Solana (SOL) and BNB Chain (BNB) posted market share increases of 344% and 40% respectively since 2023.

These figures reflect a shift in investor interest, as Ethereum faces sluggish institutional demand, negative ETF flows, and a cooling derivatives market — all while newer, faster blockchains steal the spotlight.


Bear Flag Pattern Points to $1,100 ETH Price Target

Technical indicators are painting a troubling picture for Ethereum’s price trajectory. A bear flag pattern has formed on the daily ETH/USD chart, signaling a likely continuation of the bearish momentum.

If ETH closes below the $1,600 support line, it could trigger a sell-off that drives prices down to $1,100 — a 33% decline from current levels.

📊 Chart Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 threshold, reinforcing that Ethereum is still in bearish territory.

Analysts also caution that further weakness in ETH could push prices even lower — potentially toward $1,000, based on historical trend analysis and on-chain metrics.

See Also  Institutions Pull Back from Ethereum, But ETH Remains in Their Wallets
ETH/USD daily chart with potential bear flag. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

🧠 What’s Behind the Ethereum Decline?

Key Factors Affecting ETH’s Struggles

  • Weakened institutional demand and negative ETF flows.

  • Stiffer competition from fast, low-cost Layer-1 protocols.

  • Drop in total value locked (TVL) relative to rivals.

  • Technical patterns signaling strong downside pressure.

  • Lack of positive catalysts or upcoming major upgrades.

While Ethereum still remains the top DeFi platform in terms of user adoption and ecosystem size, its once unchallenged dominance is clearly being tested.


🧭 What to Watch Next

As Ethereum drifts near critical levels, all eyes are on two key factors:

  1. Can ETH defend the $1,600 support line?

  2. Will institutional investors return amid broader crypto adoption in 2025?

Ethereum’s ability to recover — or fall further — will likely depend on both macro market sentiment and its ability to innovate faster than its competitors.


📌 Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum’s market share drops to 7.18%, near 5-year lows.

  • ETH price risks a sharp fall to $1,100 based on bearish chart patterns.

  • Rivals like Solana and XRP are gaining dominance across market cap and TVL.

  • Bearish sentiment dominates, as ETH struggles with demand and competition.

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